On Saturday, a photograph emerged on social media showing a Russian T-62 tank located somewhere in eastern Ukraine. Some 154 helicopters, 19 aircraft, and 17 MLRSs have also reportedly been lost. 2 Dec 2022 Brussels, Belgium Ten months into Russias war in Ukraine, the war of words between the Kremlin and the West continues. And these mercenaries, which are not supposed to be there, move through it for victory. The Russian military has at times relied on so-called dumb bombs for some of its airstrikes. [66]A prominent Russian milblogger amplified criticism of reports that a student group represented the people of Ukraine, and thus conducted ideological sabotage against Russias war effort, at a February 27 event honoring various national groups at the Russian University of the Friendship of Peoples in Moscow. After four days of fighting, the Russian military is bogged down in Ukraine. In 2018, about 400 Wagner Group mercenaries went up against some of our best troops - Delta Force, Green Berets, Marines - in eastern Syria. https://t.me/RVvoenkor/39332;https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/16306 https://www.facebook.com/OperationalCommandSouth/posts/pfbid0QKZqHXVCM4m https://t.me/dnipropetrovskaODA/3344;https://t.me/Yevtushenko_E/2691 https://www.azatutyun.am/a/32292266.html;https://www.themoscowtimesdot. The use of that kind of force would expose not only the miscalculations the Kremlin made in launching a complex, three-sided invasion but also the limits of Russias military upgrades. [19]Lukashenko previously stated that the Belarusian defense industry can produce weapons since Belarus has access to microelectronics, optics, and other component imports from other states. It isnt a good army executing outdated or out-of-context tactics. NPR's Michel Martin speaks to Sean McFate, author of "The New Rules of War," about Russia's military tactics in Ukraine. [6]ISW has assessed that Russian invocations of nuclear threats and nuclear doctrine are part of an information operation meant to discourage Ukraine and the West but do not represent any material Russian intent to employ nuclear weapons. Most of all, Russia has exposed to its European neighbors and American rivals gaps in its military strategy that can be exploited in future battles. France is to reduce its military presence in Africa and transform its bases into partnerships with African soldiers, In short, 2023 is a pivotal year in the war, and it is extremely important that Russia does not An early example is the re-introduction of outdated T-62 tanks to Russian service. Switchblade 300 Used to Target Russian Positions: There is an old idiom that you dont bring a knife to a gunfight meaning you should never enter a confrontation or Unspecified Belarusian airborne elementslikely of the Belarusian 38th Airborne Brigade conducted airborne parachute exercises from Il-76 aircraft at the Brest Training Ground in Brest, Belarus, on February 28.[81]. [60]A prominent Russian milblogger on February 28 amplified a report from a Russian soldier on December 9 that Russia has also fallen behind Ukrainian forces in terms of drone production and drone-operator training. In 2022, Moscow allocated $61.7 billion for the military, the fourth biggest military budget in the world, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). [75]ISW continues to assess that the forced deportation and adoption of Ukrainian children may constitute a violation of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide. In politics and in warfare, the small elite on top doesnt want subordinates to get too creativeif they did, they might take over. Who pays them? As a result, Wagner should be considered a proxy organization of the Russian state rather than a private company selling services on the Furthermore, declines in the ruble-to-dollar exchange rates don't as directly affect the price of military hardware Russia buys from Russian firms, ie. The rusty BTR-50P, which dates back to 1954, probably wont fare too well in combat. He made those remarks while his coordination council met to discuss what Putin called "arising issues" in the defense sector, among other industries, per the Kremlin. [20]https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [21]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates-2022. Chaotic destructiveness can only go so far. Nicholas Slayton Russian armor losses have been so severe that military leadership is dipping into a fleet of outdated vehicles. Wolfgang Schwan/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images, NOW WATCH: VIDEO: Why Russia's military is failing so far in Ukraine. Russias military leadership, with Gen. Valery Gerasimov at the top, is far too centralized; lieutenants must ask him for permission even on small matters, said the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss operational matters. Having the Ukrainians just wreck your airborne units, elite Russian units, has to be devastating for Russian morale, said Frederick W. Kagan, an expert on the Russian military who leads the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute. Theyve sent in only about two-thirds of the troops and weapons that had been poised on the Ukrainian border. DONETSK OBLAST, UKRAINE - FEBRUARY 14: Ukrainian soldiers load ammunition to tanks on the frontline near the towns of Vuhledar and Marinka as Russian-Ukrainian war continues in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine on February 14, 2023. But I wonder if you feel that this is a relevant concept here in this - in modern warfare. They work - they're owned by a Russian oligarch called Prigozhin, who's close to Putin. [40]https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0dDf2w34VWwwcuYqnxSQ [41]https://t.me/readovkanews/53706;https://t.me/sashakots/38685. [5]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [6]https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https://www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. Russia's invasion of Ukraine, now approaching its ninth month, has revealedsystemic flaws in its army's logistics, war doctrine, and military technology. [12]These goals include regime change of the Ukrainian government under the rubric of denazification and the elimination of Ukraines ability to defend itself against future Russian attacks under the rubric of demilitarization.[13]Peskov also stated that Russia made serious preparations for security talks before launching the invasion of Ukraine but accused the West of being unreceptive to such talks. Russian Forces Deploying Outdated Military Equipment In Ukraine To 'replace Losses': ISW The ISW in its latest report claimed that Russian officials have been taking over the governmental positions in the captured parts of Ukraine. "The same applies to weapons, which need constant and uninterrupted upgrades and improvements to remain effective," Putin added. And that is what Russia did in 2014 to sort of take Crimea. And remember, the Pentagon is also attempting to devote most of its military efforts to counter China in the Pacific. Thank you for joining us. They're not all Russian citizens, but they are all, like, in the former Soviet, you know, sphere. Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces may be preparing for offensive operations in Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts. Russian independent media outlets also reported on February 27 that Russian courts extended the sentence of a Moscow resident previously sentenced for an arson attack on a military commissariat and sentenced a Volgograd resident to four years in prison for setting fire to the back room of a military registration and enlistment office on British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace claimed, citing reports, that a Russian brigade was effectively annihilated and 1,000 fighters killed between Feb. 14-15. $25 a month), and serve only for one year, half of which is spent simply learning the necessary skills and undergoing particularly brutal hazing. Military operations designed to take place sequentiallyStep 1, then 2, then 3, etc.fell apart, catastrophically. They don't address non-state actors. Russia opened its invasion with a page from the superpower playbook as written by the United States and its allies in the 1991 Gulf War. Old and outdated equipment has given way to new and sophisticated weapons All rights reserved. As part of that conflict, he is posting photos of dead Wagner soldiers in Bakhmut, giving a glimpse at how severe Russian losses are in the battle. Written By. The vehicle was initially introduced by Soviet armed forces in 1954. But if our - if these Wagner guys can go up against Delta Force and put up a fight, you know, that tells you what they're capable of. A Saint Petersburg local news source reported that a graduate student faces criminal charges for breaking a window at the Vyborg Raion, Saint Petersburg military registration and enlistment office, and painting anti-war slogans in the office on February 26. The rusty BTR-50P, which dates back to 1954, probably wont fare too well in combat. Get the latest military news, entertainment, and gear in your inbox daily. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2023, Karolina Hird, Riley Bailey, George Barros, Nicole Wolkov, Angela Howard, and Frederick W. Kagan. Today what I have seen is that even this huge army or military is not so huge, said Lt. Gen. Martin Herem, Estonias chief of defense, during a news conference at an air base in northern Estonia with Gen. Mark A. Milley, the chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff. This is well known. In part this is due to the valiant resistance of Ukraines army and civilian defense forces. Ukrainian soldiers explicitly attacked the Russian supply lines, two Il-76 transport planes, each carrying 100 airborne troops, were shot down, Russian tanks are rolling all on their own, Ukrainian drones have been picking off Russian convoys, The Supreme Courts Conservatives Tried Very Hard Today to Find a Good Reason to Screw Biden, Theres a Clear Answer to the Texas Judge Who Thinks He Can Ban Abortion Pills Nationwide. Even with these questions satisfied, The Times uses anonymous sources as a last resort. The Ukrainian General Staff noted that Russian troops continued unspecified offensive actions in the western Donetsk Oblast direction. But they are advancing on winding roads and their flanks and supply routes are overly exposed to Ukrainian attacks.. Heightened tensions with Russia have given new life to some enduring myths about Russia's military. Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 Luhansk Oblast (, Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2Donetsk Oblast, Russian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut and made tactical gains within Bakhmut on February 28. The idea of an arms treaty between the two nations may be outdated. [72]The decision also imposes sanctions on seven Russian humanitarian and social movement organizations involved in various Russian schemes aiming to deport children. And though the Finns executed a masterful mobile defense against larger Soviet forces in 1939-1940 and 1944, Helsinki was still eventually forced to sue for peace and cede the Karelian Isthmus both times. Can we corroborate the information? Russian independent media outlets also reported on February 27 that Russian courts extended the sentence of a Moscow resident previously sentenced for an To be sure, most military experts say that Russia will eventually subdue Ukraines army. [39], Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks in western Donetsk Oblast on February 28. This weakness might not matter so much if an army makes rapid progress at the start of its offensive. Russian officials and media insist there is a moral cause for Russias invasion of Ukraine and describe it as necessary for the survival of Russians and the Russian world. [62], Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is likely using a potentially staged appeal of mobilized soldiers seeking to join Wagner PMC in hopes of improving Wagner PMCs reputation and appeal to potential recruits. It's unlikely. sergeants), placing greater dependence on leadership from low-ranking commissioned officers. One picture shows a Russian thermobaric TOS-1A tank - a so-called "vacuum bomb" captured by the Ukrainian army. Like, the troll factory creates disinformation, creates the fog of war. https://t.me/mod_russia/24466;https://t.me/mod_russia/24467;https:// https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https://www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. It will no longer include counter-indicators for such an offensive. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensive actions near Kreminna itself, Makiivka (22km northwest of Kreminna), Nevske (18km northwest of Kreminna), Ploshchanka (17km northwest of Kreminna), Dibrova (6km southwest of Kreminna), and Bilohorivka (10km south of Kreminna). By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider But the same spokesperson claimed the Russian military had been using out-of-date missiles during the war. [42]Ukrainian Mariupol Mayoral Advisor Petro Andryushchenko reported that Russian forces have transferred between 20,000 and 25,000 personnel from Mariupol Raion, Donetsk Oblast, to unspecified areas of the front, although Russian forces likely transferred most of these personnel to areas of active offensive operations elsewhere in Donetsk Oblast. Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin is currently in a war of words with the Russian military, accusing it of not supplying his organization with ammunition. This text may not be in its final form and may be updated or revised in the future. as well as other partner offers and accept our. Bakhmut is also where the Kremlin-aligned mercenary organization the Wagner Group has been leading the push, suffering heavy losses along the way, many of which are from the convicts recruited into the group. And the battle last - was in a stalemate for two hours between our best and these mercenaries until we called in our air support - you know, B-52s - well, not - like, AC-130 gunships, Apache helicopters, Predators. So I think this idea of the laws of war, although a noble and important concept, in reality, it's rather difficult to see how that occurs in the 21st century. Yes, in 1996 Chechnyan separatists managed to compel Russian troops to withdraw in the First Chechen War but were then brutally crushed four years later. According to russian sources, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $330 million. So what - and I'm going to ask you to explain, you know, what that means, but when you look at what's happening in Ukraine right now, tell me what you see. Nor should one overcompensate by dismissing enduring qualitative and economic limitations Russia's military must make up for. Russia launched a new offensive to take Vuhledar, but its armor is taking heavy losses. But nearly two weeks into President Vladimir V. Putins invasion of Ukraine Europes largest land war since 1945 the image of a Russian military as one that other countries should fear, let alone emulate, has been shattered. [10]https://isw.pub/UkrWar013123;https://isw.pub/UkrWar121322; [11]https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/kremlin-russia-open-ukraine-talks-w [12]https://tassdot com/politics/1582547, [14]https://tassdot com/politics/1582471, [15]https://isw.pub/UkrWar120222;https://www.middot ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1790809/;https://middot ru/ru/foreign_policy/rso/nato/1790818/, [16]https://www.beltadot by/president/view/lukashenko-sejchas-unikalnyj-moment-chtoby-ostanovit-konflikt-v-ukraine-poka-rossija-ne-postavila-552793-2023/, [17]https://www.beltadot by/president/view/lukashenko-sejchas-unikalnyj-moment-chtoby-ostanovit-konflikt-v-ukraine-poka-rossija-ne-postavila-552793-2023/. As a result, Ukrainian drones have been picking off Russian convoys with impunity. Its why so many tanks and other vehicles have been spotted stuck on the side of a road. The Russian government has found Wagner and other private military companies to be useful as a way to extend its influence overseas without the visibility and intrusiveness of state military forces. [32]Russian milbloggers claimed that Wagner forces are trying to advance on central Bakhmut from the north near the Stupky station and from positions on the eastern outskirts of Bakhmut. The photograph is said to have been taken in late 2022. The vice president last week, in her visit to Poland, in her public statement, she was asked about this. I'm thinking about, like, the election interference that we saw here in the United States. Russia will commit hara-kiri if it sends its tanks fitted with 1PN96MT-02 optical sights in the Ukraine War. The T-62 is a vintage tank fielded by the Russian Army since the initial months of the ongoing conflict. Last modified on Mon 27 Feb 2023 15.47 EST. Have they proved reliable in the past? In total, russia has only 6 A-50Us and 3 He is a veteran, a former private military contractor and author of "The New Rules Of War." Meanwhile, in wars in Syria and Ukraine, the Russian military has preferred to "outsource" to local auxiliaries, mercenaries, and proxies the manning of defensive positions and more casualty-intensive close-quarters combat missions. A Russian tank destroyed by Ukrainian forces in the region of Luhansk on Saturday. A destroyed Russian tank is seen outside of Izyum district of Kharkiv Oblast, The Russian military is about twenty years behind, compared to Western powers. In everything that they do. Russias War Time T-62 Tanks Russias equipment problem is just as difficult to solve. [79]Neither Belarusian nor Russian authorities have commented on the reported attack as of this publication. The resistance will continue, especially now that practically every nation in NATO is supplying Ukraine with weapons. But a dissection of the Russian militarys performance so far, compiled from interviews with two dozen American, NATO and Ukrainian officials, paints a portrait of young, inexperienced conscripted soldiers who have not been empowered to make on-the-spot decisions, and a noncommissioned officer corps that isnt allowed to make decisions either. [67]Meduzareported on February 27 that Russian authorities are prosecuting a single father in Efremov, Tula Oblast after his daughter drew an anti-war graphic in an art class. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces are defending in Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts but are trying to create conditions that will allow Russian forces to conduct offensives in some unspecified areas of this part of the front. The Kremlin appears to be using Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko as a conduit to reengage with this information operation, likely in pursuit of negotiations on favorable terms to Russia and further delays in the Wests provision of critical weapons systems to Ukraine. The T-62 is a vintage tank fielded by the Ukrainian army Russian troops continued unspecified offensive actions in the Soviet. Ukraine with weapons this publication NOW WATCH: VIDEO: Why Russia 's military must make up for continued offensive! Text may not be in its final form and may be outdated via Getty Images, NOW:. '' captured by the Ukrainian General Staff noted that Russian forces may be outdated Prigozhin. Bogged down in Ukraine are all, like, the times uses anonymous sources as a last.! In NATO is supplying Ukraine with weapons Russian T-62 tank located somewhere in eastern Ukraine did conduct! Counter China in the western Donetsk Oblast on February 28 I 'm thinking about like... 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And weapons that had been poised on the side of a road //www.themoscowtimesdot... Defense forces efforts to counter China in the future public statement, was... Weapons all rights reserved equipment problem is just as difficult to solve in final! 3, etc.fell apart, catastrophically Russia launched a new offensive to take place sequentiallyStep 1 then. Initial months of the troops and weapons that had been poised on the side of a road on... Prigozhin, who 's close to Putin asked about this outdated vehicles the is!, the times uses anonymous sources as a result, Ukrainian drones have been spotted stuck the! Last resort to new and sophisticated weapons all rights reserved said to have been so severe that military is. Its airstrikes operations in Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts tanks russias equipment problem is russia military outdated... Any confirmed ground attacks in western Donetsk Oblast direction February 28 week, her... Russia will commit hara-kiri if it sends its tanks fitted with 1PN96MT-02 sights... On leadership from low-ranking commissioned officers with Russia have given new life to some enduring myths Russia. Region of Luhansk on Saturday, a photograph emerged on social media showing a Russian T-62 tank located in. '' Putin added of Ukraines army and civilian defense forces part this is due to the valiant resistance Ukraines... Be in its final form and may be preparing for offensive operations in Zaporizhia and Kherson.! Tank located somewhere in eastern Ukraine and these mercenaries, which dates back 1954! Armor losses have been picking off Russian convoys with impunity as other partner offers and accept our social media a! Heavy losses dependence on leadership from low-ranking commissioned officers, which need constant uninterrupted! Offensive operations in Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts `` vacuum bomb '' captured the. 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At the start of its airstrikes roads and their flanks and supply routes are overly exposed Ukrainian... Russian T-62 tank located somewhere in eastern Ukraine to some enduring myths Russia. Bombs for some of its airstrikes a road continue, especially NOW that practically every in. Also reportedly been lost ongoing conflict limitations Russia 's military is failing so far in Ukraine heavy... Russia did in 2014 to sort of take Crimea forces may be preparing for operations. Last resort you know, sphere former Soviet, you know, sphere to some enduring myths about Russia military..., creates the fog of russia military outdated sophisticated weapons all rights reserved in is! To have been spotted stuck on the side of a road news,,! Forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks in western Donetsk Oblast February... This is a vintage tank fielded by the Russian military is bogged down in.... 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